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There's also going to be blame directed at Trumpįormer President Donald Trump weighed in heavily in these elections, but even in this landscape, with inflation high, Republican House candidates underperformed (except perhaps in New York State, where Republicans might flip four seats, including Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairperson Sean Patrick Maloney's seat, which was too close to call at this writing). Does he get a renewed challenge as leader of the party in the House? 3. He lost out once before on being speaker because of messaging problems, and the exit polls showed McCarthy with a 27% favorable, 53% unfavorable rating. More Republican women ran for the House and Senate this year than 2020, for example.īut there are questions about the strength of McCarthy's potential bid to be speaker of the House. And it's true that Republicans this year did put up a lot of diverse candidates relative to previous election cycles. They'll be able to blunt Biden's agenda and not much will likely happen in Washington legislatively.

uneventfulĭemocrats would still be in control of the House until January when the next Congress is sworn in, but Republicans will be in charge in the new year and for at least the next two years. And it would mean a very narrow governing majority for Republicans.Įlections Overall, voting in the U.S. It's also far below the average for a president's first midterm. Their gains will likely be anywhere from the single digits up to a dozen seats, which is on the low end of forecasters' projections. While votes continue to be tallied, Republicans will make fewer gains than they had hoped for to claim a red wave. The House still looks like it's headed for GOP hands, but not by a huge margin. Republicans underperformed in the House, and there's going to be a lot of finger-pointing So, let's say if Democrats hold on in Arizona, but lose in Nevada, then Georgia will decide control of the Senate in a runoff in about a month, Dec. In Georgia, Democrat Raphael Warnock was narrowly ahead, but not quite above the 50% threshold needed for an outright victory. Arizona only had about 58% of votes in, and Democrat Mark Kelly was ahead at that point. Nevada and Georgia are close, but the Republican was ahead in Nevada and the Democrat was ahead in Georgia.

They were expecting to win up to 52 seats, and that now appears unlikely. That means Republicans now need a net gain of two pickups to gain control. It is likely their one flip of the evening, as Wisconsin looks less likely. Senate races in the key states of Georgia, Arizona, Nevada and Wisconsin are still not called, though incumbent Republican Ron Johnson in Wisconsin led with 98% of votes in.Įlections 4 Senate races that could provide the key to controlĭemocrat John Fetterman won in Pennsylvania, which was seen as a crucial state for Democrats to be able to retain control. The Senate is undecided, and is going to go on a whileĬontrol of both the House and Senate are still not yet known, as of 5 a.m.

There's still a lot we don't know, but one thing we do know is that Republicans did not have the night they were hoping for.īased on what we do know in the wee hours, let's dig in with six takeaways: 1. We've been saying for months these elections were expected to be close, that many of these elections would take a while to be decided, asked whether things had settled into a typical midterm, where the president's party would suffer major losses, and said to not believe anyone who told you they knew exactly what would happen. This is why it's always important to remember never to assume you know exactly what's going to happen in an election - and to keep an open mind for potential surprises. Voters fill out their ballots at a polling center at the Meadows Mall on Tuesday in Las Vegas.įollow live updates and election results here.